COVID vaccines, science and common sense

There are three types of science being applied to the COVID-19 vaccine situation—no science, some science and political science. The “no science” is about those who blindly advocate for or against the vaccine without accurate information. The science is the interpretation of the vaccines’ effectiveness against the risks. The political science is the unyielding pressure to get vaccinated, which can include misinterpretation of the science, misleading people, even marginalizing those who are unvaccinated. The trends of what is happening with these emergency experimental vaccines are also part of the science and we are beginning to see their effectiveness rates over a longer term and the trend is alarming.

Given an overriding science of mathematics, statistically there has been less than a 10% chance of contracting COVID 19 and its variants, and less than a 2% chance of dying from this flu. That should tell you something. While the variants are very contagious, they appear to be less lethal. This is NOT TO SAY that COVID 19 and its variants are unreal, not lethal or not dangerous to one’s health. It is to put things in perspective mathematically. We most likely know someone who has had COVID 19. It is real and nothing with which to be trifled. This is the type of flu with which we are dealing. Highly contagious, sometimes deadly, unknown long-term effects. Do all you can to prevent getting this virus. Be diligent about it.

As the CDC states on its website, “Vaccines continue to be highly effective at preventing hospitalization and death.” And if you are vaccinated and contract COVID 19 or a variant, the impact will be less. Those are the facts. ALSO, the vaccines lose their effectiveness as time passes. The 95% efficacy rate drops to less than 75%, according to studies cited by CDC. Another study published in the International Journal of Vaccine Theory, Practice, and Research (IJVTPR) states that the relative risk reduction is initially 95%, but the absolute risk reduction is 1.1% for Moderna and 0.7% for Pfizer, according to data supplied by the vaccine makers to the FDA. This could be the cause of so many breakthrough cases. This also can cause vaccinated people to actually spread the virus further because of the false security of being vaccinated.

The vaccines were developed in a rush to stop COVID 19 death. They did what was intended, but not without risk. CDC reports that of 357 million doses administered in the US from December 14, 2020-August 16, 2021, there were 6,780 deaths reported (0.0019%) among those receiving the vaccine. CDC speaks of “currently” known rare side-affects, including anaphylaxis, thrombosis (blood clots), Guillain-Barre Syndrome, myocarditis, pericarditis, and death. Because the vaccines are so new, the long-term effects are difficult to predict, but the IJVTPR paper postulates that the mRNA vaccine spikes a protein to induce the body to fight the virus, then exits the body. Problem is that the mRNA may last long enough in the body to cause autoimmune disorders, neurodegeneration, and long-term permanent damage to the spleen, kidney and brain.

As this flu season gears up, questions about the efficacy of the COVID vaccines will arise. We know they lose their effectiveness with time, causing the CDC to recommend regular booster shots—like every eight months. While CDC says the vaccine is safe and effective, it is measuring that statement based on “current” data, not long-term data. Yes, the vaccines prevent death, but at what risk, especially when regular boosters are needed. The political science is to shame or scare everyone into taking the vaccines, but if they are not long-term effective and have high-risk long-term side effects, a wiser approach is necessary. Proverbs 3:21 advises, “Keep sound wisdom and discretion.” In your health decisions, discern well and be wise.

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Bill Wilson